Imagine two people, both 24 years old, with no prior criminal records. Both are arrested for the exact same offense—let’s say, a non-violent drug possession charge or a low-level property crime. One is arrested in downtown Detroit (Wayne County), and the other is arrested just a few miles north in Pontiac or Royal Oak (Oakland County).

In a fair system, you would expect their punishment to be roughly the same. But in Michigan, your “luck of the draw” regarding which side of a county line you stand on can determine whether you go home to your family on probation or spend several years behind bars. This is what experts call “Justice by Geography,” and it’s a quiet crisis of equity in our state.

The Power of the “Local Lens”

In Michigan, judges are elected by their local communities. While this keeps them accountable to voters, it also creates a patchwork of “judicial cultures.”

In Wayne County, where the court system is often overwhelmed and there is a stronger community push for rehabilitation, a judge might look at a young person and see a candidate for a diversion program or a “boot camp.” However, in Oakland or Kent County, which have historically leaned toward “tough on crime” platforms, that same judge might feel pressure to hand down a maximum sentence to “send a message.”

The result? The law is the same, but the application of the law is entirely different.

Guidelines are Just “Suggestions”

For a long time, Michigan tried to fix this with “Sentencing Guidelines.” These were math-based formulas designed to keep sentences consistent across the state. However, a major 2015 court ruling (People v. Lockridge) changed the game. The Michigan Supreme Court ruled that these guidelines could only be “advisory,” not mandatory.

This gave judges more freedom, which sounds good in theory. But in practice, it widened the gap. Without a “must-follow” rule, a judge in a conservative county can stray far above the recommended sentence, while a judge in a more progressive area might stay low. This creates a system where justice isn’t blind; it’s just looking at a map.

Why This is an Equity Issue

For those who value judicial equity, the “Zip Code Gap” is a red flag. It means that the state’s most vulnerable citizens—those who can’t afford a high-priced attorney to argue for a “downward departure” from the guidelines—are the ones most likely to be swallowed up by these geographic inconsistencies.

When your freedom depends more on the county line than the character of your actions, the system loses its moral authority. We are one state, with one set of laws. It’s time we ensure that those laws mean the same thing in Grand Rapids as they do in Detroit.

Sources

Michigan Supreme Court: People v. Lockridge, 498 Mich. 358 (2015). The landmark case that made sentencing guidelines advisory rather than mandatory, leading to increased variation in local sentencing.

Michigan Department of Corrections (MDOC) 2022 Statistical Report: This annual report provides data on prison intake by county. Comparing the “Commitment Rate” (how many people are sent to prison versus given probation) between counties like Wayne and Kent reveals significant disparities.

Safe and Just Michigan. “Do Michigan’s Sentencing Guidelines Meet the Legislature’s Goals?” Study